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TSAA-SF Monthly Virtual Gathering Monthly on 1st Tue at 5 PM PT Please join us for TSAA-SF monthly gathering of our membership. At these events we celebrate our Technical Analysis Heritage. Each month the members meet and consider the many aspects of T.A. or visual financial data analysis. The programs will profile the charting methods and techniques of our members and guest presenters. Mike Jones and Bruce Fraser are co-hosts this month. Upcoming Events: November 5, 2024 TSAA-SF Monthly Date: November 5th, 5 PM PT TITLE: AI in Technical Analysis (From Expert Systems to Machine Learning) GUEST: Steve Hill is the CEO of AIQ Systems, who has over 30 years of experience in developing and delivering innovative artificial intelligence trading software and education for professional and individual stock and options traders worldwide. His mission is to empower traders with cutting-edge tools and insights that help them achieve their financial goals and optimize their performance. He has a strong background in equity trading, trading system design, and derivatives trading, as well as software engineering project specification and management, website development, direct and indirect marketing, contract negotiation, and accounting and taxation. Steve has a passion for educating traders in stock market analysis, derivative trading, and trading psychology, and he regularly hosts webinars, seminars, and podcasts on these topics. In addition, he is the managing partner of Prowebinars.com, a company that provides web conferencing and eCommerce solutions for businesses, and the board president of Plumas Charter School, a local educational institution that supports career pathways for students. DESCRIPTION OF THE TALK: In this month's call, Steve will be covering early applications of Artificial Intelligence to Technical Analysis and Trading. He will cover early beginnings in the 1980s and up through the 90s and 00s with emphasis on what AIQ and other tools. He will also touch on the current state of the art as well as future applications of AI effectiveness in meeting the challenges and risks of trading using these methods. Previous Events: TSAA-SF Annual Conference
Saturday September 14th at Golden Gate University
The TSAA-SF annual conference will be held on Saturday Sept 14th 2024 at Golden Gate University. It is an all day hybrid event, held both in person and via zoom. This year's speakers include:
* John Bollinger, CFA, CMT - Creator of Bollinger Bands, Author, Investor * Linda Raschke - Author of “Trading Sardines” Trader/Investor * Damon Pavlatos - CEO of Future Path Trading LLC & PhotonTrader * Dave Landry - Trader, Author, Speaker, Educator, Founder of DaveLandry.com * Robert Schott = Expert in Global Investments, Strategy, Risk, Derivatives, & ALM * Patrick Dunawila, CMT - Technical Analyst, Co-Founder of The Chart Report * Mike Jones - Data Engineer & Analytics Consultant
Our theme is based around the book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator. It is the 101st anniversary since the publication of Edwin Lefèvre's iconic and historic novel. The book is foundational to both a Trading and Technical Analysis world view. As such, we are looking to try something new by having a book club reading list, specifically:
* Edwin Lefèvre's book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator, * Linda Raschke's book Trading Sardines, and * Hank Pruden's article 21st Century Technician.
Recording available for members TSAA-SF Monthly Date: Aug 6, 5 PM PT
Has Inflation Been Conquered by the Fed? What if Inflation Does Not Reach the Fed’s 2% Target? How will the Financial Markets React to Challenging Inflation Numbers? Do we Need a New Playbook for the Environment Ahead? These Questions Will Be Thoroughly Considered and Answered in this Month's TSAA-SF Members Meeting. DESCRIPTION OF THE TALK: Joe Turner returns to discuss the recent decline in the rate of inflation and whether the Federal Reserve Bank has tamed high and rising prices in the aftermath of the COVID Pandemic. Joe founded the Pring Turner Capital Group with Martin Pring, and is recently retired. He remains active with TSAA-SF, and has been a member since 1974. Notably, in 1979 Joe presented to the TSAA-SF ‘A Checklist for the End of Inflation’ just as inflation appeared to be raging hopelessly out of control. This was followed by 40 years of disinflation. He joins Mike Jones and Bruce Fraser for the August Member’s meeting of the TSAA-SF, for an informal discussion about the present position of the business cycle, inflation, and what the future may hold for stock and bond markets. TSAA-SF Monthly Date: July 2, 2024 at 5 PM PT Data and Databases are at the center of the information age we are living in. They are instrumental to the functioning of individual people's lives as well as the many organizations, institutions and society we are all a part of. They are also foundational to Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, as well as other advanced methods for measuring, organizing and understanding our world. But what are databases really all about? Join TSAA on Tuesday July 2nd at 5:00p to hear from Mike Jones who will offer some introductory glimpses into the inner workings of how databases actually get things done. He will give an overview of databases in a general sense, and then show implementations of some common/familiar Technical Analysis Indicators. Using Bollinger Bands, MACD, and RSI he will illustrate how indicators and databases, when combined together, are powerful productivity and analytical tools in the hands of the 21st Century Technician. Date: June 4, 2024 (1 PM PT - New time) "Behavioural Inflection Point"
Market sentiment hit a "Behavioural Inflection Point" across risk proxies YTD, already pricing in the so-called "Fed dovish pivot", as RWA cited in a recent CNBC interview. However, there are several growing indications that the market is overly optimistic on economic growth-market valuations and still aggressively positioned for Fed cuts, while vulnerable to either a policy mistake or/and recession risk. Additionally, a triple whammy of headwinds remain, notably momentum unwind from extremes, rotation fragility and cycle asymmetric risk.
Big picture themes include: -“Gold resurgence in a VUCA world” link - S&P500 “Fly me to the moon & back?” link
Our event will also include live and interactive “top of mind” audience Q&A. Date: May 7, 2024 Topic: Trading Options with the Wyckoff Method Featuring Eric Cosway and Eric Bielefeld Eric and Eric will join Bruce and Mike to discuss the use of call options to define the risk of trading Wyckoff Reaccumulation Patterns. The discussion will be oriented toward the beginning to intermediate level Wyckoff trader, covering specific techniques and ending with a question and answer session. Recording available for members Date: Apr 2, 2024 Topic: ADX/MACD – How to incorporate ADX and MACD into your trading approach Featuring Joe Rabil Joe discusses how each indicator plays its own role in the analysis. ADX is typically used to identify WHAT stocks we want to trade. MACD helps us determine WHEN. By using this analysis in multiple timeframes, we can find the strongest candidates AND pinpoint the best entry points as well. Recording available for members Date: Mar 5, 2024 How to catch the big swings with one simple strategy Wieland Arlt focuses on three criteria for his trading setups: a high probability of occurrence, a long way to the targeted goal and a clear message if the market has changed its mind. These criteria are combined in the expander strategy presented. Learn why the strategy is suitable for all market phases, get in touch with the ingredients of the strategy and get to know how you can implement the strategy into your trading no matter if you are trading intraday or in the long term. This strategy is applicable on every market and timeframe.Recording available for members Date: Feb 6, 2024 Topic: Swing Trading Technique with the Wyckoff Point & Figure Method Date: Jan 9, 2024 Topic: Introduction to AI (part 2) Date: Dec 5, 2023 at 5 PM PT; Guest: Jeff Kennedy Join our gathering for an immersive discussion of Elliott Wave Theory with one of the foremost experts on the subject. Jeffrey is a legendary Elliott Wave educator and trader. Bring your questions about the theory and any markets of interest. Jeffrey will dedicate the session to answering your questions and evaluating the markets you are interested in. Date: Nov 14, 2023 at 5:00-6:00 PM Pacific Time; Please join us for the first TSAA-SF monthly gathering of our membership. At these events we will celebrate our Technical Analysis Heritage. Each month the members will meet and consider the many aspects of T.A. or visual financial data analysis. The program will profile the charting methods and techniques of our members and guest presenters. Mike Jones and Bruce Fraser will co-host as the series kicks-off. With other hosts rotating in over time. Mike will introduce a recurring series on ‘Understanding and Using Artificial Intelligence’. This series of short tutorials will be oriented toward better employing AI for financial research and analysis. Guest for Session One Joe Turner, long time member of the TSAA-SF and past president, is a 50+ year veteran of financial markets and is our inaugural guest. Our discussion topic: ‘Is the Economy Already in a Recession?’ Joe is an expert on Business Cycle analysis and how best to apply that knowledge to managing stock and bond portfolios. He has presented on many occasions to the TSAA-SF and has taught “Investing through the Business Cycle” as a graduate class at Golden Gate University. Bring your questions and join us for a lively discussion. TSAA-SF Annual Conference Date: Sep 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM - 5 PM Pacific Time In-person in San Francisco. Livestreaming for dues paying members The TSAA-SF will be hosting our 2023 annual conference, in partnership with AAPTA, at Golden Gate University on Sep 16, 2023. Speakers include: Linda Raschke - Auction Theory versus the Theory of Reflexivity Brett Villaume - Understanding Relative Strength Bruce Fraser - Swing Trading Technique Using the Wyckoff Method Ali Merchant - Power of trend lines and market outlook using major indices Bob Schott - Technical Analysis for the Buy Side Eoin Treacy - Waiting For Godot Damon Pavlatos - Anticipating Market Action using Market Profile, Volume Analytics Strategies along with traditional charting analysis. Cost: TSAA-SF members in-person: $150 (breakfast and lunch included), non-members: $400. Free livestreaming for TSAA-SF members SPONSORS: Wyckoff Analytics Past Event: TSAA-SF Annual Round-up Luncheon Date: Jan 13, 2023 at 12 Noon - 3PM Pacific Time In-person in San Francisco. Cost: $75 (open to non-members and members) Please come join us at the famous John’s Grill off of Union Square to look back at 2022 and look ahead at 2023 over lunch with some fabulous speakers. 3-course lunch includes: Salad, Choice of Entree (Pacific snapper or Chicken Dijonnaise), Dessert included in your $75 registration cost! 2022 TSAA-SF Annual Fall Conference Recording Now Available for dues paying members September 17, 2022 Become a member - get free access to conference recording The 2022 Conference included a great lineup of technical analysis and trading experts as guest speakers. Sign up as a dues paying member to get access to the recording. Speakers include:
Recent Webinar: Short Horizon Trading Stocks & Stock Indexes Date: May 10, 2022 at 5-6 PM Pacific Time (Recording free for dues paying members; become a member here) Connie Brown, CFTe, MFTA from Aerodynamic Investments Inc. A thirty year+ short horizon trader will demonstrate the entry/exit signals, triggers, confirmation, price targets, and methods she uses in current markets. This session will include probability considerations and stock selection. Recent Webinar: Anatomy of a Trade Date: Apr 26, 2022 at 5-6 PM Pacific Time (Recording free for dues paying members; become a member here) About Frantz Herr: Frantz Herr is a private investor who bought his first stock in 1974 - a semiconductor company (unfortunately it wasn't Intel!). He pursued his investing passion professionally for three decades as an advisor at Merrill Lynch, retiring in 2017. He learned of Richard D. Wyckoff in an investor chat room in 2016, and has been a fervent student of the methodology ever since. After mentoring with David Weis in 2018, Frantz continued his study with Roman Bogomazov at Wyckoff Analytics. Frantz is certain he holds the record for the number of times taking Roman's Wyckoff Trading Course 2, The Practicum. Frantz has solidified his connection with Wyckoff Analytics over the years. Along with John Colucci, he records a weekly YouTube series "Anatomy of the Trade" in which he and John post analyze completed trades submitted by students of Wyckoff Analytics. Frantz is also the leader of The Process Group, a small membership of elite traders at Wyckoff Analytics devoted to raising their trading practices to the highest level. The program John and I will be presenting could be titled "Anatomy of a Trade - how we post analyze our trades for continuous improvement within the context of Wyckoff methodology" About John Colucci, Jr. John Colucci, Jr. has been involved in stock market and financial analysis for over 30 years. From the early days as a corporate bankruptcy and insolvency attorney, Mr. Colucci poured over financial statements, budgets and cashflow projections to determine the feasibility of financial plans presented to creditors. After early training in forensic financial analysis and fraud detection, Mr. Colucci took an interest in stock market investing from a fundamental perspective. After a series of hard taught lessons beginning in 1987, technical analysis became a bigger focus for investment analysis. After working through the quasi fundamental/technical system developed by William J. O’Neil, Mr. Colucci’s Wyckoffian journey began with the search for meaning in the phrase, “the stock is under accumulation.” After numerous books, blog articles, courses and special events with many of the great Wyckoffian’s of our time, Mr. Colucci is primarily a long/short technical stock and futures trader using Wyckoffian principles--with an occasional financial statement sojourn to celebrate old times. Scanning and filtering are particular passions for Mr. Colucci. TSAA-SF's 2022 Market Outlook - Free Recording Martin Pring presents his financial market and economic Outlook for 2022 in two parts. In the first video (link here), he shows his iconic Econometric Technical Analysis research on the current position and possible future direction of stock markets, both domestic and international. In part 2 (link here), he turns his attention to the forces impacting inflation trends, commodity prices, interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and gold. For a number of years it has been a tradition for Martin Pring to present his outlook for the year ahead to the TSAA-SF membership at Golden Gate University. In recent years it has become a virtual event. This event has been offered, without charge, to the public to raise awareness to the Technical Securities Analysts Association of San Francisco (TSAASF.org) and the wonderful events that are offered throughout the year and this year that tradition continues. You are encouraged to become a member of this storied organization if you have a passion for financial markets, trading and Technical Analysis. The TSAA-SF is an original IFTA Society and your membership includes membership to this global federation of technical analysis societies. We hope you enjoy this Video Presentation! Recent event: TSAA-SF 2021 Virtual Round-up Date: Dec 7, 2021 at 5-6:30 PM PT (Recording free for dues paying members; become a member here) Please join us for our virtual 2021 annual round up via Zoom for a series of brief presentations (~15 mins) and a panel discussion with the presenters! Presenters include:
Recent Webinar: Brian Shannon from AlphaTrends Date: Oct 19, 2021 at 5 PM PT (Recording free for dues paying members; become a member here) About Brian Shannon: Brian Shannon is the founder of alphatrends.net, an online swing trading analysis and education community, founded in 2010. Brian is a full-time trader, educator, and author of the highly regarded book “Technical Analysis Using Multiple Timeframes.” His expertise has been achieved over a 30-year period of trading and market analysis, as he has navigated the difficult path that relatively few traders are able to follow to success. Having worked for Lehman Brothers, and other major investment firms over his career, Brian gained valuable insight into market dynamics and the human factors that drive them.2021 TSAA-SF Virtual Fall Conference Date: Sep 18, 2021 (Sat) 8:45 AM-4:40 PM PT US RECORDING AVAILABLE FOR ALL DUES PAYING MEMBERS HERE! It's that time of year again, time for the TSAA-SF Annual Conference! The 2021 Conference will include a great lineup of technical analysis and trading experts as guest speakers. Speakers’ topics this year will include up-to-date market and securities analysis, trading psychology, and TA methodologies to help you improve your trading. Full list of speakers and topics here. The conference this year is once again FREE for our members. Join us for only $75 annually to gain access to the conference and our database of recorded webinars. Become a member here! |